This OTK Combo is Complete MADNESS!!!

投稿日：2023年10月16日

The goal of this Wild Hearthstone Control Warlock OTK combo deck is to use Spreading Madness combined with Tamsin Roame! We do this by playing Void Virtuoso, Deathspeaker, Tamsin, many copies of Reverberations, and as many copies of Spreading Madness as possible for the OTK! Super fun meme deck! Good luck!

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Deck Code: AAEBAcn1AgaaywLy7QOwkQT/2QS4xQXmxQUM3sQC8tACnakDld4DvfEDg/sDxYAE56AEpZIFyOsF8YAG8KEGAAA=

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MarkMcKz より:

2023年10月16日 12:00 AM

13 damage is the unluckiest amount of damage! Remember to subscribe to the channel and like the video! Thanks so much for watching!

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- The Champ より:
  
  2023年10月16日 1:30 AM
  
  7×13=91. Best case is 1/3 with immune virtuoso on board. So that would make it 30 to the enemy hero on average. But you cannot reach these odds when starting with 6 extra 1 Health minions on the board.
  
  Conclusion: you were in fact Lucky the first game
  
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Tyler Reed より:

2023年10月16日 1:05 AM

91 damage, only 30 hit the opponent

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Zsolt Nagy より:

2023年10月16日 1:20 AM

If for each 1 DP (damage point) either it hits the opponent or not and the probability for each resolution is the same, then X, the number of times the opponent is hit for 1 DP, is *binomially distributed: P(X=k)=B(n,p,k).*
The probability for each resolution resulting in hitting the opponent for 1 DP is p=1/3.
The number of resolutions here is n=7·13=91.
So the probability for X=30 (for hitting the opponent for 1DP 30 times) is
P(X=30)=B(91,1/3,30)≈0.0884=8.84%.
The probability for winning the game at that moment is
P(winning)=P(X≥35)=1-P(X≤34)=1-F(91,1/3,34)
≈1-0.8234=0.1766=17.66%.

Note, that those results above are estimations and approximations as X is not quite binomially distributed as the probability for each resolution resulting in hitting the opponent for 1 DP is not quite p=1/3 given the initial board state with more targets to hit for 1DP.
But those results are good enough approximations as for most of the resolutions of n=91 p=1/3 and only for a few resultions it's actually 1/9≤p≤1/3.
*So the probability for X=30 is at most B(91,1/3,30)≈8.84%:*
*P(X=30)≤8.84%*
*And the probability for winning the game at that moment is at most 1-F(91,1/3,34)≈17.66%:*
*P(winning)≤17.66%*
So it's quite the (mathematically) expected result of you not winning that first game by that combo as it would have been quite miraculous (mathematically), if you would have won that game by that specific and particular combo.

Also note, that the most probable X is the expected value μ=n·p=91·1/3≈30 for a binomially distributed variable.
Yeah, the probability with P(X=30)=B(91,1/3,30)≈8.84% is not that high, BUT for any other value for X and any other outcome it's actually lower than that:
P(X=k)≤B(91,1/3,30)≈8.84% for any k∈{0,1,2,...,91}.
*That outcome of the first game was the most probable there (approximately).*

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Iron Fiskur より:

2023年10月16日 2:09 AM

You could definitely put the odds in your favor by running demon seeds and dropping the void and deathspeaker. Actually I think this makes the combo %100 reliable.

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- Rattus Grenadus より:
  
  2023年10月16日 2:53 AM
  
  @Tarillechild predator
  
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- Wes Hano より:
  
  2023年10月16日 2:55 AM
  
  @Tarillebut you don’t need the virtuoso anymore with the questline
  
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- _Misha4em _ より:
  
  2023年10月16日 2:55 AM
  
  Demon seed makes you not need to run virtuoso
  
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- Smaragdptor より:
  
  2023年10月16日 5:40 AM
  
  You could also replace Spreading Madness with Encroaching Insanity, drop the Deathspeaker and all risk involved.
  
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- Icetea 2000 より:
  
  2023年10月16日 5:52 AM
  
  Yeah but that just shows how good the demon seed is, I mean after you complete it you win anyway so it’s not really that flashy at that point
  
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wiggler lesbian より:

2023年10月16日 3:23 AM

It would be kinda funny to use warlock quest with clockwork automatons and maybe even a cube or two in order to chunk your opponent down over time, maybe with jailer

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Koma より:

2023年10月16日 4:05 AM

You are not alone trust me. But I have combo for you Elite Tauren Champion and Commander Ulthok and you can trow Barnn in combo just for dmg and style.

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Konprise より:

2023年10月16日 4:47 AM

I think the resson you think you were unlucky in the 1st round is because humans tend to focus on losses more often than gains. You got average luck there statistically.

7*13 = 91 damage
91 - 6 minions on board (essentially always will all die) is 85
85/3 = 28 which is less than 30

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Noah Stevenson より:

2023年10月16日 5:16 AM

If you give your hero and minions "Can't be targetd by spells or hero powers" then all the damage will hit the opponent.

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- LOCO GATO より:
  
  2023年10月16日 7:13 AM
  
  That damage is not targeted so it wouldn't work.
  
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Illicoprestige より:

2023年10月16日 5:29 AM

That may be hard to compute, but you should try to see if one tamsin survive after the first 1 mana madness to get some extra copies with the second one. Not to mention that to increase the chance of getting extra burst, you could reverb deathspeaker after the first one (cause your last tamsin died after the 12th shot of your first ever madness)

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Camufa より:

2023年10月16日 8:26 AM

Do one with the quest pls

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